Hurricane Ida and Nicaragua

[Charles]

This is the 7 AM advisory




HURRICANE IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
700 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009

...IDA BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF NICARAGUA...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IDA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A
HURRICANE.

AT 700 AM...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS
NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NICARAGUA/COSTA
RICA BORDER NORTHWARD TO BLUEFIELDS AND FROM NORTH OF PUERTO
CABEZAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT
85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF
NICARAGUA THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER
NICARAGUA TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES.

A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
LATER TODAY.

...SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.8N 83.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN/BLAKE

[Charles]

NOTE THAT WINDS AT 7 AM WERE 75 MPH

[Jeanie]

Thanks for the update

[Charles]

the 10 AM advisory

HURRICANE IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1000 AM EST THU NOV 05 2009

...IDA INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL NICARAGUA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO
THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...
125 KM...NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM
...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NICARAGUA AND
EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IDA MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. IDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER THE ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUD SLIDES.

A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA...WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IDA MAKES LANDFALL. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
LATER TODAY.

...SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.1N 83.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE

[MisterD21]

IDA one who wants it to come here.... bring on kite flying weather!!!! let her blow let her blow let her blow...

[Charles]

4 pm advisory

TROPICAL STORM IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
400 PM EST THU NOV 05 2009

...IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL THE PRIMARY
CONCERN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER.

AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON
EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA AND
ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA.

IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA WILL
MOVE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND
IDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY. SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER IDA EMERGES OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF EASTERN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA...AND THE
ISLANDS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER REGIONS OF ELEVATED TERRAIN IN HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

HIGHER-THAN-NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT.

...SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.3N 83.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE

[ShipMaven]

000
wtnt31 knhc 052348
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical storm ida intermediate advisory number 6a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
700 pm est thu nov 05 2009

...ida now barely a tropical storm...heavy rainfall still the primary concern...

a tropical storm warning remains in effect for the east coast of nicaragua from bluefields northward to the honduras/nicaragua border.

a tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast coast of honduras from limon eastward to the honduras/nicaragua border. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

interests elsewhere in honduras should monitor the progress of ida.

for storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

at 700 pm est...0000 utc...the center of tropical storm ida was located near latitude 13.5 north...longitude 84.0 west or about 55
miles...85 km...southwest of puerto cabezas nicaragua.

ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph...7 km/hr. A turn toward the north at a slightly faster forward speed is expected tonight or friday. On the forecast track...the center of ida will move across northeastern nicaragua and eastern honduras during the next day or so. The tropical cyclone is forecast to emerge over the northwestern caribbean sea early saturday.

maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph...65 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected...and ida will likely weaken to a tropical depression tonight. Some restrengthening is possible after ida emerges over the northwestern caribbean sea on saturday.

tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km from the center.

estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.

ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7 inches along the coasts of eastern honduras and nicaragua...and the islands off the coast of nicaragua with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. Maximum rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are possible over regions of elevated terrain in honduras and nicaragua. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

...summary of 700 pm est information...
location...13.5n 84.0w
maximum sustained winds...40 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 5 mph minimum central pressure...1002 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 1000 pm est.

$$
forecaster pasch/roberts

[ShipMaven]

000
wtnt31 knhc 060236
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical depression ida advisory number 7
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
1000 pm est thu nov 05 2009

...ida weakens to a depression...flood threat continues...

At 1000 pm est...0300 utc...the government of nicaragua has
discontinued the tropical storm warning for the east coast of
nicaragua from bluefields northward to the honduras/nicaragua
border.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast coast of
honduras from limon eastward to the honduras/nicaragua border. A
tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in honduras should monitor the progress of ida.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

At 1000 pm est...0300 utc...the center of tropical depression ida
was located near latitude 13.8 north...longitude 84.1 west or about
50 miles... 80 km...west-southwest of puerto cabezas nicaragua.

The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph. A
turn toward the north at a slightly faster forward speed is expected
on friday. On the forecast track...the center of ida will move
across northeastern nicaragua and eastern honduras during the
next day or so. The tropical cyclone is forecast to emerge over
the northwestern caribbean sea early saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph...55
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected
tonight and friday as ida moves over land. Some restrengthening is
likely after ida emerges over the northwestern caribbean sea on
saturday.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.

Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7
inches along the coasts of eastern honduras and nicaragua...and the
islands off the coast of nicaragua with maximum amounts of 12
inches possible. Maximum rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches
are possible over regions of elevated terrain in honduras and
nicaragua. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides.

...summary of 1000 pm est information...
Location...13.8n 84.1w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 5 mph
minimum central pressure...1004 mb

an intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane
center at 100 am est followed by the next complete advisory at 400
am est.

$$
forecaster pasch/roberts

[ShipMaven]

000
wtnt31 knhc 060534
tcpat1
bulletin
tropical depression ida intermediate advisory number 7a
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al112009
100 am est fri nov 06 2009

...ida producing heavy rainfall over portions of nicaragua and honduras...

a tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast coast of honduras from limon eastward to the honduras/nicaragua border. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

interests elsewhere in honduras should monitor the progress of ida.

for storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

at 100 am est...0600 utc...the center of tropical depression ida was located near latitude 14.1 north...longitude 84.0 west or about 40 miles...70 km...west of puerto cabezas nicaragua.

the depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph...
7 km/hr. A turn toward the north at a slightly faster forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track...the center of ida will move across northeastern nicaragua and eastern honduras during the next 24 hours. The tropical cyclone is forecast to emerge over the northwestern caribbean sea early saturday.

maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected today as the center of ida remains over land. Some restrengthening is likely after ida emerges over the northwestern caribbean sea on saturday.

the estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.

ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7 inches along the coasts of eastern honduras and nicaragua...and the islands off the coast of nicaragua with maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. Maximum rainfall accumulations of 15 to 20 inches are possible over regions of elevated terrain in honduras and nicaragua. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

...summary of 100 am est information...
location...14.1n 84.0w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 5 mph minimum central pressure...1005 mb

the next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 400 am est.

$$
forecaster cangialosi/brennan