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Inroducing Isaac

Discussion in 'Community Message Board' started by Charles, Aug 21, 2012.

  1. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Hi folks,

    This is the first storm this year that may impact the US. Probably FL or the eastern Gulf states. So, I'll post on this as it develops.

    [​IMG]

    The 8 PM Tuesday update.

    Tropical Storm Public Advisory
    Statement as of 8:00 PM AST on August 21, 2012


    ...Isaac continues moving toward the Lesser Antilles...




    summary of 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...information
    ----------------------------------------------
    location...15.5n 54.9w
    about 435 mi...700 km E of Guadeloupe
    maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/h
    present movement...W or 275 degrees at 17 mph...28 km/h
    minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches




    watches and warnings
    --------------------
    changes with this advisory...


    none.


    Summary of watches and warnings in effect...


    a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Martinique
    * Dominica
    * Guadeloupe and the surrounding islands...and St. Martin
    * St. Kitts...Nevis...Antigua...Barbuda...Montserrat...and Anguilla
    * Saba...St. Eustatius...and St. Maarten


    a tropical storm watch is in effect for...
    * British Virgin Islands
    * Puerto Rico...Vieques...Culebra...and the U.S. Virgin Islands


    a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.


    A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours.


    Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and Cuba should monitor the
    progress of Isaac.


    For storm information specific to your area in the United
    States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please
    monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
    forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
    the United States...please monitor products issued by your National
    meteorological service.




    Discussion and 48-hour outlook
    ------------------------------
    at 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Isaac was
    located near latitude 15.5 north...longitude 54.9 west. Isaac is
    moving toward the west near 17 mph...28 km/h...and this general
    motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the
    forecast track...the center of Isaac should move through the
    Leeward Islands Wednesday evening...and emerge over the eastern
    Caribbean Sea by Thursday morning.


    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher
    gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48
    hours.


    Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km
    to the northeast of the center.


    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.




    Hazards affecting land
    ----------------------
    wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning
    area by Wednesday afternoon...making outside preparations difficult
    or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
    area by Thursday.


    Rainfall...total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are possible
    over the northern Windward Islands and the Leeward Islands. Total
    rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with maximum amounts of 6
    inches are possible over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.


    Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1
    to 3 feet above normal tide levels in the northern Leeward Islands.
    Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by dangerous waves.


    Surf...dangerous surf and rip current conditions will affect the
    windward and Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Please
    consult products from your local weather office for more
    information.




    Next advisory
    -------------
    next complete advisory...1100 PM AST.


    $$
    Forecaster Pasch

    Read more at Tropical Storm Isaac : Public Advisory | Weather Underground

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Wednesday at 5 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 AM AST WED AUG 22 2012

    ...ISAAC GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR
    THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.5N 57.3W
    ABOUT 280 MI...445 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
    WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA
    WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
    STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF
    ISLA SAONA.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA
    * GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
    * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
    * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN HAITI AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
    CARIBBEAN SEA ON THURSDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
    ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
    AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
    DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
    PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
    VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
    ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
    NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
    PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE
    INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  3. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the report Charles.

    Looks as though Florida is going to get some rain soon.
     
  4. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Wednesday 11 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 6...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    1100 AM AST WED AUG 22 2012

    CORRECTED SPELLING IN HEADLINE

    ...RAINBANDS OF ISAAC SPREADING THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.9N 59.3W
    ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA
    * GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
    * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
    * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
    ISLANDS
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN HAITI AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING...PASS NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THURSDAY...AND APPROACH THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
    ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
    DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
    PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
    VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY...AND OVR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY LATE
    THURSDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
    ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
    NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
    PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE
    INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  5. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    [​IMG]

    Wednesday 8 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    800 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012

    ...ISAAC ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...


    SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.7N 62.2W
    ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM SW OF GUADELOUPE
    ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA
    * GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
    * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
    * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
    ISLANDS
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE AWAY FROM THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...PASS NEAR OR SOUTH
    OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THURSDAY...AND APPROACH
    THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
    AND ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
    MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON HURRICANE HUNTER
    AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS
    OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON
    THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
    THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
    MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
    LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
    ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
    DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
    RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE
     
  6. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Thursday at 5 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

    ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ISAAC SLIGHTLY
    WEAKER AND FARTHER SOUTH...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.3N 64.0W
    ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM ESE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICA
    * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
    * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
    ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
    ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
    MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS
    REFORMED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. SOME ERRATIC MOTION
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING...
    BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
    BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS TO THE SOUTH OF
    THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

    DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND A NOAA
    BUOY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40
    MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...RE-STRENGTHENING IS
    FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND ISAAC COULD STILL BECOME A
    HURRICANE ON FRIDAY BEFORE IT REACHES HISPANIOLA.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM THE
    AIRCRAFT AND A NEARBY NOAA BUOY IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
    THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY...AND OVER
    PORTIONS OF HAITI ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS BY LATE FRIDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
    INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
    VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...
    WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA.
    THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
    SLIDES.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG
    THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
    LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
    ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
    DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
    RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  7. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles.
     
  8. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Thursday at 11 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 10
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    1100 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

    ...ISAAC CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.6N 65.4W
    ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
    ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
    ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
    MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
    WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
    YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
    ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...AND A WEST-
    NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF
    PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
    ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    AND HAITI.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
    FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42060 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN
    WINDS OF 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 47 MPH...76 KM/HR.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SUBSIDING OVER THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
    PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC BY FRIDAY...AND OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI FRIDAY OR FRIDAY
    NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY LATE
    FRIDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...
    WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA.
    THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
    SLIDES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO
    RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG
    THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
    LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
    ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
    DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
    RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  9. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Thursday 5 PM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 11
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 PM AST THU AUG 23 2012

    ...ISAAC CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES
    FOR THE BAHAMAS AND CUBA...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.0N 67.1W
    ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
    FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
    ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
    ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
    CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...
    SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
    HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
    ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
    ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...
    SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE
    BAHAMAS...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
    WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
    YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
    ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL APPROACH THE SOUTH COAST
    OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT...MOVER NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH
    COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI ON FRIDAY...AND APPROACH
    SOUTHEASTERN CUBA FRIDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
    ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    AND HAITI ON FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
    MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON HURRICANE HUNTER
    AIRCRAFT AND BUOY DATA IS IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. NOAA BUOY
    42059 RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1004.1 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
    PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING.
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY FRIDAY...AND OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI FRIDAY OR
    FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY LATE
    FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
    CUBA BY SATURDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...
    WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA.
    THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
    SLIDES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO
    RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
    3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG
    THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. STORM SURGE IN PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS
    THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
    NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
    RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  10. Cruise cutie

    Cruise cutie Well-Known Member

    Thanks Charles...and this one is staring to look nastier..:bawl:..hope it's not..thanks for all the share....:)..Joanne
     
  11. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Friday at 5 AM

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 13
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

    ...POORLY ORGANIZED ISAAC JOGS WESTWARD...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.1N 70.0W
    ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    * HAITI
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...
    SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
    CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND VILLA
    CLARA
    * ANDROS ISLAND AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
    EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE
    BAHAMAS...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...
    INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
    THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
    WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER
    SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
    WATER.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED OVER EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
    ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL CUBA...THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND ANDROS
    ISLAND BY SATURDAY.

    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
    TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN CUBA. TOTAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
    OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
    ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND EASTERN CUBA
    DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
    LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN
     
  12. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles.

     
  13. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Friday at 11 AM advisory


    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

    CORRECTED SPELLING IN HEADLINE

    ...ISAAC STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
    TOWARD THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.3N 70.8W
    ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
    CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND VILLA
    CLARA.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
    FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
    ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
    CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    * HAITI
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
    CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
    CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
    * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
    ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
    CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
    * ANDROS ISLAND
    * JAMAICA

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS THE REMAINDER OF CUBA...THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...
    SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    ISAAC. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
    KEYS LATER TODAY AND ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
    FLORIDA PENINSULA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE
    NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD
    MOTION EXPECTED TROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
    OF ISAAC WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA TODAY...
    PASS NEAR OR OVER HAITI TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER EASTERN AND
    CENTRAL CUBA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER
    REACHES THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA TONIGHT.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
    TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
    INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
    POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY
    AND TONIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY
    OR SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
    EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT AND OVER CENTRAL CUBA BY SATURDAY OR
    SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH NORTHWESTERN
    CUBA AND ANDROS ISLAND BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
    ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
    VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
    CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND EASTERN AND CENTRAL
    CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  14. Hooked

    Hooked Well-Known Member

    Just keep him away from Sarasota Chuckie!
     
  15. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    friday at 5 PM

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012

    ...ISAAC STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...CENTER TO MAKE LANDFALL IN
    HAITI TONIGHT...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.2N 71.9W
    ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
    ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
    FOR ANDROS ISLAND.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
    THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...
    BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
    KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF
    JUPITER INLET...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA
    BEACH...FLORIDA BAY...AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * HAITI

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    * HAITI
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
    CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
    CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
    * ANDROS ISLAND
    * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
    ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG
    CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
    * JAMAICA
    * THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...
    BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
    * THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
    * THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET
    * THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH
    * FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF CUBA AND THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA
    PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
    IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN HAITI
    THIS EVENING...MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY...
    MOVE NEAR OR OVER CENTRAL CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND APPROACH THE
    FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY.

    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
    KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY
    BEFORE LANDFALL...FOLLOWED BY SOME WEAKENING AS THE CENTER CROSSES
    HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
    AIRCRAFT IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
    TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...AS WELL
    AS JAMAICA. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO. TOTAL
    RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
    SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
    INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
    FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND
    TONIGHT...ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY OR
    SATURDAY NIGHT...AND ARE EXPECTED OVER ANDROS ISLAND BY SUNDAY.
    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN CUBA BY TONIGHT
    AND OVER CENTRAL CUBA BY SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS COULD REACH NORTHWESTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
    BAHAMAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY...AND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
    FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
    ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT PUERTO
    RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
    TURKS AND CAICOS...AND EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA DURING THE NEXT
    COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
    OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  16. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you Charles for the update.

    Really feel sorry for the people of Haiti.
     
  17. Gayle V

    Gayle V Cruiser's Compass Editor

    Thanks for all the updates Charles. Have there been any cruise itinerary changes due to this one, yet?
     
  18. Mbandy

    Mbandy Well-Known Member

    I haven't seen any announcements on itinerary changes yet Gayle. Shouldn't be many. I am thinking Carnival Legend might be a concern. Will they try to sneak her in and out of Tampa with the storm so close? As a Florida t/a I would doubt it but the experts at Carnival will know best.

    It is a beautiful, clear night here in Central Florida tonight. We here are watching closely.

    Thanks for the updates Charles!
     
  19. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Saturday 5 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 17
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    500 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

    ...ISAAC EMERGING FROM THE COAST OF HAITI...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    ISSUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.0N 73.3W
    ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
    ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING
    THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH
    SOUTHWARD...AND FLORIDA BAY.

    A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
    GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
    ANDROS ISLAND.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS
    * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD
    * FLORIDA BAY

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * HAITI
    * THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD
    * ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    * HAITI
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
    CLARA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE
    CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO
    * THE BAHAMAS
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
    * THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD
    * LAKE OKEECHOBEE

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND CIENFUEGOS
    * JAMAICA
    * THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
    36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
    FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
    OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
    RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF CUBA AND THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA
    PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND A
    WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
    NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER EASTERN
    CUBA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA TONIGHT AND
    APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ISAAC MOVES OVER EASTERN
    CUBA LATER TODAY...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
    SUNDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
    TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA...THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
    PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA OF
    FLORIDA. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
    ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND
    OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON ANDROS ISLAND ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL CUBA BY LATER TODAY AND
    TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
    NORTHWESTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BY TONIGHT OR
    SUNDAY.

    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN
    SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS ON SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL
    STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ON
    SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING AREA IN FLORIDA BY EARLY SUNDAY.

    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...3 TO 5 FT
    SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...1 TO 3 FT
    HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...1 TO 3 FT
    THE BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT PUERTO
    RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...EASTERN
    AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA
    KEYS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
    YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
     
  20. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

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