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Inroducing Isaac

Discussion in 'Community Message Board' started by Charles, Aug 21, 2012.

  1. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    MONDAY 8 AM UPDATE

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    800 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012

    ...ISAAC GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES
    WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.7N 84.7W
    ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
    ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO DESTIN FLORIDA...INCLUDING
    METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST
    AND FROM TARPON SPRINGS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST
    * FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY
    * EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
    36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
    FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
    OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
    RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
    DOPPLER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST.
    ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...
    AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A
    GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
    EXPECTED BY TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
    WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND APPROACH THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
    AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390
    KM...FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE
    AIRCRAFT IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
    * SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...1 TO 2 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE FLORIDA
    KEYS...AND SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST IN
    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
    WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
    POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
    SOUTHERN ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA
    THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE TORNADO
    THREAT WILL DIMINISH OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS
    MORNING.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE
    FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT
    PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
    FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  2. Mbandy

    Mbandy Well-Known Member

    It started raining here in Orlando late last night. The rain has been steady with only a few heavy squalls. No heavy sustained winds to speak of. A few tornado watches in the area but no real bad weather so far. The storm center is about 300 miles from here. Orlando is about 90 miles from the Gulf. So, more rain for us all day. Today is my day off so I can stay out of it and watch from my balcony.
     
  3. Mbandy

    Mbandy Well-Known Member

    It started raining here in Orlando late last night. The rain has been steady with only a few heavy squalls. No heavy sustained winds to speak of. A few tornado watches in the area but no real bad weather so far, not even thunder or lightning. The storm center is about 300 miles from here. Orlando is about 90 miles from the Gulf. So, more rain for us all day. Today is my day off so I can stay out of it and watch from my balcony.
     
  4. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Stay safe Michael.

    This is the 11 AM Monday Advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 26
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    1000 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

    ...ISAAC MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
    MEXICO...POSES SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.1N 85.3W
    ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
    ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED EAST AND SOUTH OF
    AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO DESTIN FLORIDA...INCLUDING
    METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY.
    ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER THE
    EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING
    THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WHERE
    ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
    TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
    18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
    MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND
    NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT
    AND TUESDAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    LATER TODAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  5. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Monday 2 AM update

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    100 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

    ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING AFFECTING THE FLORIDA EAST COAST...
    SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE THREAT EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.1N 85.9W
    ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
    ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO DESTIN FLORIDA...INCLUDING
    METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL
    MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND APPROACH THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
    AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM A
    NEARBY NOAA BUOY IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
    HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...WHERE
    ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE
    POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
    SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
    PANHANDLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND
    NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT
    AND TUESDAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    LATER TODAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  6. Mbandy

    Mbandy Well-Known Member

    We're drying out a bit. My neighborhood is a few miles east of the I-Drive attractions; Sea World, Universal etc. On a map, Florida Turnpike and Orange Blossom Trail. It stopped raining at noon but has stayed cloudy & breezy....very humid. Right now the heavy weather is east of us, along the coast from Melbourne to Daytona.

    I'll say one thing, WAY different than my former homes in Phoenix and Vegas!

    Hoping that landfall in the north Gulf will not be too severe.
     
  7. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    4 PM Monday advisory

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 27
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    400 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

    ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES ISAAC GETTING STRONGER...
    SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE THREAT EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.4N 86.2W
    ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
    ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN HAS
    BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
    LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD
    THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER
    THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY LATE TUESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110
    KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
    AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
    TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS ALONG
    THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM THE
    AIRCRAFT AND NEARBY NOAA BUOYS IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...6 TO 9 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN FLORIDA
    PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES
    POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES..ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
    SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN
    FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL AND
    NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    TONIGHT.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  8. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you Charles

    Not looking good.
     
  9. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Monday at 8 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    700 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012

    ...ISAAC EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE SOON...SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE
    AND FLOOD THREAT FROM RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.7N 86.5W
    ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF SABINE PASS TO WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
    LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD
    THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
    A SLIGHT DECREASE IS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY
    OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER
    THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND APPROACH THE COAST OF
    SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR
    TUESDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
    A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
    UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM AIR
    FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 981 MB...28.97
    INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...6 TO 9 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING
    OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT
    DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN FLORIDA
    PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES
    POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
    SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN
    FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL AND
    NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    TONIGHT.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE
     
  10. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]


    Tuesday at 5 AM

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 29
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    400 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...ISAAC ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A HURRICANE...SIGNIFICANT
    STORM SURGE AND FRESHWATER FLOOD THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...27.5N 88.1W
    ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

    THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A
    DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
    BE NEAR OR OVER THE LOUISANA COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ISAAC IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
    HURRICANE LATER TODAY. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL
    THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...WITH
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THIS MORNING.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
    WARNING AREA IN LOUISIANA BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
    ARE POSSIBLE ON THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER
    TEXAS COAST BY TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7
    TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
    SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
    THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH


    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Aug 28, 2012
  11. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Appreciate the updates Charles.
     
  12. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Tuesday at 7 AM update

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    700 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FIND ISAAC NEARLY A HURRICANE...
    SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE AND FRESHWATER FLOOD THREAT TO THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST...



    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...27.8N 88.2W
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH SOME
    FLUCTUATIONS IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
    WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE LOUISANA COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ISAAC IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
    HURRICANE LATER TODAY. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL
    THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE
    AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...WITH
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
    INTO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THIS MORNING.

    TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
    WARNING AREA IN LOUISIANA BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
    ARE POSSIBLE ON THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER
    TEXAS COAST BY TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
    SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
    THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  13. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    TUESDAY AT 10 AM

    TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 30
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    1000 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...ISAAC STILL JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES
    NORTHWESTWARD...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.1N 88.5W
    ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM SE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
    WARNING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN
    FLORIDA.

    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED EAST OF DESTIN.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST. ISAAC IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD
    MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
    TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD REACH THE
    COASTLINE OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING
    LANDFALL...AND BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER THAT.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY HURRICANE HUNTER
    AIRCRAFT WAS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
    * REMAINDER OF FLORIDA WEST COAST...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO OCCUR NEAR THE
    MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND WILL REACH OTHER PORTIONS OF
    THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS
    BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
    THE COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
    SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
    THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  14. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    1 PM Tuesday update

    HURRICANE ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A...RETRANSMITTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    100 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...HURRICANE ISAAC MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE MOUTH OF THE
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER...FLOODING FROM STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL
    EXPECTED...


    SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.4N 88.7W
    ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
    BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE
    28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE
    NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A
    SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC SHOULD REACH THE
    COASTLINE OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
    UNTIL ISAAC MAKES LANDFALL. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
    LANDFALL OCCURS.

    HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...
    NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.
    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING AT THE MOUTH OF THE
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER...WHERE A NOAA OBSERVING SITE AT SOUTHWEST PASS
    LOUISIANA RECENTLY MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH...93
    KM/H...AND A GUST TO 76 MPH...122 KM/H...AT AN ELEVATION OF 80
    FEET.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
    AIRCRAFT WAS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
    * REMAINDER OF FLORIDA WEST COAST...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE
    MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND WILL REACH OTHER PORTIONS OF
    THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS
    BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST
    REACH THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
    SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
    THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  15. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Storm Surge Map

    Here is what is expected from the storm surge affecting the Gulf Coast

    [​IMG]


    c
     
  16. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    4 PM on Tuesday


    HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    400 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...ISAAC GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT NEARS SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA...FLOODING FROM STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.7N 89.2W
    ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
    BY NOAA DOPPLER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2
    WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A
    NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
    HURRICANE ISAAC SHOULD REACH THE COASTLINE OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA THIS EVENING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...
    WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
    SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
    BEFORE ISAAC MAKES LANDFALL. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
    LANDFALL OCCURS.

    HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...MAINLY
    TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA. NOAA BUOY 42040...LOCATED
    EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...RECENTLY MEASURED
    SUSTAINED WINDS OF 63 MPH...100 KM/H...AND A GUST TO 83 MPH...
    135 KM/H.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
    * REMAINDER OF FLORIDA WEST COAST...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
    WARNING AREA THIS EVENING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD
    ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
    SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE
    30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY
    STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
    ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE RAINS
    COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    THROUGH TONIGHT.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 PM CDT AND 800 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  17. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you Charles

    Feel sorry for all those people living in New Orleans and the surrounding areas.
     
  18. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    6 PM update on Tuesday

    HURRICANE ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    600 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...CENTER OF ISAAC NEARING THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...STORM
    SURGE FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING...



    SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.9N 89.2W
    ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
    BY NOAA DOPPLER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2
    WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A
    NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
    HURRICANE ISAAC SHOULD REACH THE COASTLINE OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND CONTINUE MOVING
    FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
    BEFORE ISAAC MAKES LANDFALL. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
    LANDFALL OCCURS.

    HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...
    MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH
    WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH WAS OBSERVED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT
    LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW ORLEANS.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
    970 MB...28.64 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ---------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
    * REMAINDER OF FLORIDA WEST COAST...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    A STORM SURGE OF 8.0 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT A NATIONAL
    OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE AT SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA. A STORM SURGE
    OF 5.3 FEET WAS OBSERVED AT A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE IN
    WAVELAND MISSISSIPPI. A STORM SURGE OF 3.1 FEET WAS ALSO REPORTED IN
    PENSACOLA FLORIDA.


    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
    WARNING AREA THIS EVENING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD
    ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
    SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE
    30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY
    STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE. A WIND GUST TO 106 MPH WAS RECENTLY
    REPORTED OFF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST AT OIL RIG AT AN
    ELEVATION OF 279 FEET...THE EQUIVANENT OF THE 28TH FLOOR.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
    ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE RAINS
    COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    THROUGH TONIGHT.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     
    Last edited: Aug 28, 2012
  19. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    8 PM Tuesday

    HURRICANE ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31B
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    800 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

    ...ISAAC MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST
    LOUISIANA...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...29.0N 89.6W
    ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
    BY NOAA DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6
    WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A
    NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
    HURRICANE ISAAC WILL CONTINUE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
    COAST OF LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND MOVE FARTHER INLAND
    OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
    BEFORE ISAAC MOVES INLAND...WHILE GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
    AFTER THAT.

    HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...
    MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 52 MPH
    WITH A GUST TO 64 MPH WAS OBSERVED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT
    LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW ORLEANS.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
    968 MB...28.59 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...4 TO 8 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT
    * APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
    * REMAINDER OF FLORIDA WEST COAST...1 TO 3 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    A STORM SURGE OF 9.5 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT A NATIONAL
    OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE AT SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA. A STORM SURGE
    OF 5.7 FEET WAS OBSERVED AT A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE IN
    WAVELAND MISSISSIPPI.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
    WARNING AREA THIS EVENING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD
    ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
    SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE
    30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY
    STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
    7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
    ALABAMA...AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE RAINS
    COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING.

    TORNADOES...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    THROUGH TONIGHT.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN/BERG
     
  20. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    [​IMG]



    Wednesday at 4 AM

    HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 33
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
    400 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

    ...ISAAC BEGINNING TO MOVE INLAND IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...DANGEROUS
    STORM SURGE AND FLOOD THREAT FROM HEAVY RAINS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
    THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...29.2N 90.5W
    ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
    ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
    MAUREPAS

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
    * MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
    OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A GENERAL
    NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY
    AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY
    THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
    OF ISAAC WILL MOVE OVER LOUISIANA TODAY AND TOMORROW AND OVER
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS EARLY FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ISAAC MOVES OVER
    LAND DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
    MILES...280 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 66 MPH
    WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW
    ORLEANS. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS
    REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
    CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
    WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
    THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

    * MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...6 TO 12 FT
    * ALABAMA...3 TO 6 FT
    * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT
    * FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND APALACHEE BAY...2 TO 4 FT

    THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF
    ONSHORE WINDS. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE
    TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER
    SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
    SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING
    AREA THIS MORNING...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
    ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

    WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE
    SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. AT ABOUT THE
    30TH STORY...WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE ONE SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORY
    STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE.

    RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7
    TO 14 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
    INCHES...OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND
    SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS COULD
    RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND FLOODING. RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
    INCREASE NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
    INCHES EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY MORNING.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
    COAST REGION AND PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
    THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

    SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
    AFFECT THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FOR THE
    NEXT DAY OR SO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 AM CDT AND 800 AM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
     
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2012

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