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The Storm MARIA Reports

Discussion in 'Community Message Board' started by Charles, Sep 8, 2011.

  1. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Hi,

    The storm Maria, is moving west fairly quickly, and will begin to affect the Leeward Islands tomorrow. Here is the 11 AM Thursday Advisory:

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011

    ...MARIA MOVING WESTWARD IN A HURRY...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.0N 51.2W
    ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
    DOMINICA.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
    ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS.
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA.
    * ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
    ON SATURDAY.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. MARIA COULD BE DEGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL WAVE AT THIS
    TIME...AND AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM
    LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...EVEN IF MARIA BECOMES A TROPICAL WAVE LATER
    TODAY...THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD OF REGENERATION DURING THE
    NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
    TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
    FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles.
     
  3. Whimsy

    Whimsy Well-Known Member

    Beware of storms named Maria! My DH can tell you that is very true! :whistle:
     
  4. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    Did we really need three at one time, Charles?:(
     
  5. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Just trying to make sure we are wanted, ShipMaven.

    The 2 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011

    ...MARIA NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...

    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.0N 52.0W
    ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE


    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS.
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA.
    * ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS


    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
    ON SATURDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
    KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA COULD BE DEGENERATING INTO A
    TROPICAL WAVE AT THIS TIME...AND AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
    WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...EVEN IF MARIA BECOMES
    A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY...THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD OF
    REGENERATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
    TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
    FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA
     
  6. Jeanie

    Jeanie Well-Known Member

    Thanks again for the update
     
  7. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    The 8 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    800 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011

    ...MARIA CONTINUES QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARDS THE LESSER ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.2N 53.6W
    ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
    KITTS
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA
    * ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.6 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
    ON SATURDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. MARIA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE
    EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...IF WEAKENING DOES NOT
    OCCUR...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THE
    LEEWARD ISLANDS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
    LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    IN THE WATCH AREA LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  8. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 090537
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...MARIA HEADING TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH NO CHANGE IN
    INTENISTY...


    SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.4N 55.5W
    ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
    KITTS
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * DOMINICA
    * THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
    CULEBRA.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD
    THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY
    SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO BY
    SATURDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
    TWO.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA


    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]
     
  9. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    5 AM Friday

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIA ALREADY REACHING THE LESSER
    ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.8N 56.2W
    ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
    ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.2 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS EARLY SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY
    NIGHT.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA
     
  10. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Fiday 8 AM update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    800 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...MARIA HEADING TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...14.0N 56.9W
    ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
    ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS EARLY SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY
    NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     
  11. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 091446
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...14.2N 57.5W
    ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
    CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
    DOMINICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES EARLY TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
    SATURDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN

     
  12. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT64 KNHC 091625
    TCUAT4

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1225 PM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    AT 1215 PM AST...1615 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE...ST. MARTIN...AND ST.
    BARTHELEMY.

    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN


     
  13. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 091752
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 PM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...MARIA SLOWS DOWN AS IT NEARS THE LESSER ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...14.3N 57.9W
    ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM NE OF BARBADOS
    ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES EARLY TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
    SATURDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     
  14. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    The 5 PM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 PM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...RAIN BANDS FROM MARIA MOVING ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...14.8N 58.6W
    ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM NNE OF BARBADOS
    ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL MOVE OVER THE LEEWARD
    ISLANDS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
    SATURDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES THIS EVENING...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.

    STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
    2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITHIN
    THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
    BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     
  15. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    8 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
    700 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...LITTLE CHANGE WITH NATE...


    SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...20.1N 92.9W
    ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
    ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
    * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. NATE HAS
    BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A SLOW
    WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE
    NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE
    WILL APPROACH THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
    AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH
    AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY
    EARLY SUNDAY.

    RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE
    MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
    2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND
    TABASCO.

    STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
    PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT AS NATE MOVES AWAY
    FROM THE AREA.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
  16. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 100249
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 PM AST FRI SEP 09 2011

    ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT MARIA REMAINS POORLY
    ORGANIZED...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.1N 59.5W
    ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM N OF BARBADOS
    ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL MOVE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
    SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
    INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF MARIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
    LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...THEN SLOW
    STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE STARTING ON SATURDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
    280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER
    ANTILLES TONIGHT...THEN SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE VIRGIN
    ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITHIN
    THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
    BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  17. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 100537
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011

    ...MARIA VERY DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...

    SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.5N 59.8W
    ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
    CENTER OF MARIA WILL MOVE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY...AND
    REACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY LATER TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS WELL TO THE
    NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE
    CIRCULATION OF MARIA IS POORLY ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THERE IS A
    POSSIBILITY OF A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING LATER TODAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
    280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND THEN OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
    RICO BY THE END OF THE DAY.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITHIN
    THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
    BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA


     
  18. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Saturday 5 AM advisory

    [​IMG]

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011

    ...MARIA REFUSES TO STRENGTHEN...

    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.0N 60.2W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE
    ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * GUADELOUPE
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * DOMINICA
    * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
    OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...MARIA AND ITS ASSOCIATED WEATHER WILL MOVE OVER
    THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY...AND REACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY
    LATER TONIGHT.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED AS MARIA MOVES ACROSS
    THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
    AS IT MOVES OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND THEN OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
    RICO BY THE END OF THE DAY.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITHIN
    THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
    BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA
     
  19. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    The 8 AM update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    800 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011

    ...MARIA LOSING ORGANIZATION...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.9N 61.2W
    ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNE OF GUADELOUPE
    ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
    WARNING FOR DOMINICA.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
    FOR GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
    KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * ST. BARTHELEMY AND ST. MARTEEN
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
    OF MARIA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF MARIA
    CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS DEFINED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...MARIA
    COULD DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.

    AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL
    STORM MARIA WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...
    LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
    MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO
    PASS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY...AND REACH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
    BY LATER TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED AS MARIA MOVES ACROSS
    THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HOWEVER...MARIA COULD DEGENERATE TO
    A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND THEN OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
    RICO BY THE END OF THE DAY.

    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE
    CENTRAL TO NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
    PUERTO RICO.

    STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
    TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITHIN
    THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
    BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     
  20. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Saturday 11 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2011

    ...MARIA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.3N 61.5W
    ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NE OF ANTIGUA
    ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    NONE

    INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF MARIA.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF
    MARIA IS BECOMING POORLY DEFINED. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE
    CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3
    NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
    NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
    DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS...IN A FEW SQUALLS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
    WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND MARIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    OR DEGENERATE TO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OUTWARD UP TO 200
    MILES...325 KM...OVER WATER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
    LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
     

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