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The Storm MARIA Reports

Discussion in 'Community Message Board' started by Charles, Sep 8, 2011.

  1. Jeanie

    Jeanie Well-Known Member

    Thanks for the update
     
  2. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 131736
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

    ...MARIA MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...22.2N 67.9W
    ABOUT 320 MI...505 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST.
    MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
    BY EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A
    FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON
    THURSDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
    325 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
    TO 20 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
    THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
    MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
    OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH
    TUESDAY.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY
    WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN


     
  3. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Mary Ann.
     
  4. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    You're welcome, Yonnie. Looks like Bermuda continues to be in the line of fire, though not a direct hit.


    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 140234
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011

    ...MARIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.5N 68.2W
    ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 640 MI...1035 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON
    THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
    ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...
    LOCATED NOT FROM THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
    WINDS OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH GUSTS TO 47 MPH...76 KM/H.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY
    WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH
     
  5. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 140545
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...MARIA MAKE A JOG TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...EXPECTED TO
    RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION LATER TODAY...

    SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.8N 68.5W
    ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST.
    MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. MARIA IS
    EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
    INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
    EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA
    ON THURSDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...
    LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A
    WIND GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H.

    REPORTS FROM THE NEARBY NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM
    CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  6. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Wednesday at 5 AM advisory

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...MARIA STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.2N 68.6W
    ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. MARIA IS
    FORECAST TO RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
    INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
    EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA
    THURSDAY MORNING.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
    280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...
    LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A
    SUSTAINED WIND OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H AND A GUST OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H.

    REPORTS FROM THE NEARBY NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
    PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
     
  7. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Watching Bermuda

    [​IMG]
     
  8. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Looks as though on the Veendam will have a couple of rainy, windy days in Bermuda.
     
  9. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    8 AM Wednesday update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    800 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...MARIA REPOSITIONED TO THE WEST...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.2N 69.0W
    ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    RELOCATED TO LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. MARIA IS
    FORECAST TO TURN TO THE NORTH LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON
    THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA THURSDAY
    MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
    280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...
    LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND
    OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H AND A GUST OF 51 MPH...83 KM/H.

    REPORTS FROM THE NEARBY NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
    PRESSURE IS NEAR 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
  10. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles
     
  11. Jeanie

    Jeanie Well-Known Member

    Charles, thanks for the update, rainy in Bernuda
     
  12. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    11 AM advisory for Wednesday

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...MARIA TURNS TO THE NORTH...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.2N 69.4W
    ABOUT 420 MI...670 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
    NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
    THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
    WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW
    BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    FROM THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE
    CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H AND
    A GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
  13. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    2 PM update

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...LITTLE CHANGE WITH MARIA...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.6N 69.6W
    ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
    NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
    THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
    WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW
    BEFORE WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINS ON FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    FROM THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046...LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE
    CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H AND
    A GUST OF 51 MPH...83 KM/H.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
  14. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles.
     
  15. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 142036
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 33
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011

    ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE APPROACHING MARIA...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.3N 69.3W
    ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SW OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST.
    MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
    NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
    THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
    WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
    AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON
    FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW...WITH
    WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINNING ON FRIDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING MARIA.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
    KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
    TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
  16. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you Mary Ann for the update.

    Wonder if Bermuda will have there "fair" this evening on Front Street with all that rain?
     
  17. ShipMaven

    ShipMaven Forever Remembered

    Yonnie - unfortunately, I think it may be somewhat soggy.


    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 150532
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    200 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011

    CORRECTED DUE TO ADVISORY BEING SENT INADVERTENTLY TOO EARLY

    ...WEATHER SHOULD GRADUALLY DETERIORATE IN BERMUDA...


    SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.7N 68.4W
    ABOUT 325 MI...535 KM SW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------

    AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST.
    MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A
    CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA
    WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
    AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON
    FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.
    SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
    HOURS...AND MARIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. A WEAKENING
    TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH TODAY.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATER
    TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA
     
  18. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    Thursday at 5 AM and Bermuda

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 35
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    500 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011

    ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA LATER TODAY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...30.2N 68.4W
    ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA


    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA FOR STORM INFORMATION
    SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
    NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST. MARIA HAS
    INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
    NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
    CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL
    INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
    CENTER OF MARIA WILL QUICKLY PASS WEST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. THERE IS POSSIBILITY THAT MARIA WILL BECOME A HURRICANE
    TODAY BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH TODAY.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATER
    TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA

    Bermuda Radar

    [​IMG]
     
  19. Krazy Kruizers

    Krazy Kruizers Holland America Specialist

    Thank you for the update Charles.
     
  20. Charles

    Charles Captain Weather

    [​IMG]


    The 11 AM Thursday advisory

    TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
    1100 AM AST THU SEP 15 2011

    ...MARIA JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.4N 67.0W
    ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM W OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST. MARIA IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H. THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST
    AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL MAKE ITS CLOSEST
    APPROACH TO BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN MOVE AWAY FROM
    THE ISLAND LATER TODAY.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
    KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
    LATER TODAY...BUT SHOULD START TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
    KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
    BERMUDA THROUGH TODAY.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON BERMUDA
    THROUGH TODAY.



    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2011

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